“Astronomers detect light from the Universe’s first stars” is the headline of a Nature news article, which appeared February 28, 2018.1 It relates to observations made by a team of astronomers led by Judd Bowman of Arizona State University in Tempe. The team published their results in Nature the same week.2 According to Bowman,
“This is the first time we’ve seen any signal from this early in the Universe, aside from the afterglow of the Big Bang.”
They used a small radio-telescope situated in the Western Australian desert, far away from human settlement to minimise interference from radio signals generated by human technology. (See Fig. 1.) The antenna was tuned to a waveband of about 78 MHz, which is at the low end of FM radio, so isolation from human generated radio signals was essential.
To understand what the astronomers interpret from this research I quote an editorial summary from Nature:3
“As the first stars heated hydrogen in the early Universe, the 21-cm hyperfine line—an astronomical standard that represents the spin-flip transition in the ground state of atomic hydrogen—was altered, causing the hydrogen gas to absorb photons from the microwave background. This should produce an observable absorption signal at frequencies of less than 200 megahertz (MHz). Judd Bowman and colleagues report the observation of an absorption profile centred at a frequency of 78 MHz that is about 19 MHz wide and 0.5 kelvin deep. The profile is generally in line with expectations, although it is deeper than predicted. An accompanying paper by Rennan Barkana suggests that baryons were interacting with cold dark-matter particles in the early Universe, cooling the gas more than had been expected.”
Let’s look at this in two stages. What was observed and what is the interpretation of the recorded data.
What was observed
Astronomers recorded the spatially averaged, all-sky radio-frequency emissions received at their antenna for all frequencies between 50 MHz and 100 MHz. This was filtered and averaged over hundreds of hours. It was then represented as a brightness temperature. See Fig. 2a.
The astronomers used an antenna tuned to a region less than 200 MHz because of cosmological theory. The theory dictates/predicts that the so-called “cosmic dawn” occurred several hundred million years after the alleged big bang. This is the period in the big bang story that when sufficient neutral hydrogen clumped together the first stars turned on. According to standard ΛCDM cosmology the “cosmic dawn” ended at a redshift of about 20 and started some 100 million years before that.
The neutral atomic hydrogen of those first stars allegedly absorbed radiation from the big bang fireball (now called the cosmic microwave background (CMB) radiation). This resulted in spin-flips of the atomic hydrogen atom when the atoms absorbed radiation at a wavelength of 21 cm, or about 1420 MHz. As a result the researchers looked for a 21-cm absorption dip in the sky-averaged radio-spectrum. But if you want to see this absorption dip today after the universe has allegedly expanded by a factor of about 20 you have to look down in the FM radio frequency band. Roughly said: divide 1420 MHz by 20 equals approximately 70 MHz. That means the 21-cm absorption feature has been redshifted down to about 70 MHz for a period in the big bang history characterised by a redshift z =19.4
The astronomers had to be sure the source of this radiation they were observing, together with its absorption feature, was not from Earth or the Galaxy itself. Both have radio emissions at these frequencies at much higher intensities than what was expected to be seen from the ‘cosmic dawn’. So they spent several years with a second antenna making sure it was not interference from Earth or the Galaxy.
“And despite being a puny 0.1% drop in the radiation, it was still twice the magnitude predicted. The finding was so stark that the researchers spent two years checking that it didn’t come from an instrumental effect or noise. They even built a second antenna and pointed their instruments at different patches of sky at different times. “After two years, we passed all of these tests, and couldn’t find any alternative explanation,” says Bowman. “At that point, we started to feel excitement.”1
The researchers modelled all known foreground emissions from the Galaxy and Earth and subtracted those from the measured data to obtain the remaining spectrum from the alleged ‘cosmic dawn’. See Fig 2, reproduced from the Nature paper.2 Because of the extremely large temperature range (1000 K to 5000 K) of the measured data (Fig. 2a) to find the expected feature with only a ‘dip’ of 0.5 K it was necessary to subtract models of the 21-cm feature (Fig. 2d) and all expected foreground sources (the Galactic synchrotron spectrum and Earth’s ionosphere) until the residuals were minimised. This eventually reduced the root-mean-squared (r.m.s) residuals to 0.025 K. See Fig. 2c. Assuming nothing was missed in the modelling they concluded that the dip (Fig. 2d) was a real signal buried in the all-sky radio emission data (Fig. 2a).
I have it on good authority that the research team was very careful not to make too rash a claim. For this reason, they spent much time trying to verify that the ‘dip’ feature (Fig. 2e) was not from some spurious source. Bowman et al. argue that the profile of the ‘dip’ centred around 78 MHz is what was expected. But they were surprised that the feature had an extended flat bottom (Fig. 2d), and they had to introduce that into the model before they could achieve flat residuals across the region of interest (Fig. 2c). I have no doubt that they were very careful getting this result.
Could some other source be the origin of the feature? The authors state that “astrophysical phenomena (such as radiation from stars and stellar remnants) are unlikely to account for this discrepancy”.2 But there is no way one could definitely know that.
What is the interpretation
Regarding this experiment, I once asked an astronomer, how could he be sure that the 100 MHz radiation he was looking for was redshifted light from the first stars of the ‘cosmic dawn’? After all, could there not be other astrophysical sources? He replied, “where else could it come from?” Such is the mindset. The big bang is believed to be true, so once the Earth and the Galaxy are eliminated it could be from nowhere else.
The astronomers saw only a tiny 0.1% dip in the spectrum of the 100 MHz band radiation coming from the sky (compare Fig. 2d with Fig. 2a). They see two features in that tiny dip—the beginning of the dip and the ending of the dip. Assuming big bang expanding universe cosmology, they precisely calculate4 when, in the big bang timeline, these features occur by assuming the dip results from the physics of neutral hydrogen, though greatly redshifted. From this they infer that the “cosmic dawn” started 180 million years after the big bang and concluded 70 million years later.
“Radiation from this period arrives stretched out by the expansion of the Universe, meaning the band in which the signal was found gives away its age. This allowed the team to date the latest onset of the cosmic dawn to 180 million years after the Big Bang. The signal’s disappearance gives away a second milestone — when more-energetic X-rays from the deaths of the first stars raised the temperature of the gas and turned off the signal. Bowman’s team puts that time around 250 million years after the Big Bang.”1
Is this verifiable? The astronomers expect that it will be, once more measurements are made by others using much larger telescopes with better precision. But that would only be measuring the same phenomenon. It is not getting different information on it by an independent method. I have been informed though that work is in progress to do just that—to use a different, more precise method, and to look across a wider region of frequencies as well as spatial position.
A more fundamental question might be, is there an independent method of verifying that the ’dip’ seen centred at 78 MHz is a highly redshifted version of neutral hydrogen 21-cm absorption by starlight? Could it not be due to some other astronomical source which is not even at the alleged redshift? And how can you infer the 1420 MHz radiation absorbed by the hydrogen atoms was highly redshifted light from the big bang fireball?
One of the problems with this is that astronomer do not actually measure the redshift of the source, like is routinely done in measurements on stars and galaxies. In this case they see a small dip in the FM radio-frequency spectrum coming from the sky and they simply take for granted that it results from the assumed phenomenon. They do not question from where else this could arise. So they then use standard cosmological theory to calculate what redshift 78 MHz represents for a 1420 MHz absorption feature in the rest frame of a putative star in the alleged “cosmic dawn” epoch. The result aligns quite well with their expectations, but of course that can be adjusted slightly depending on the result. And at that epoch, where else could the 1420 MHz radiation come from, as they believe the first stars were bathed in CMB radiation at that redshift? There was, supposedly, nothing else there then.
However, as noted by Charles Bennett in his letter to the editors of Science, and with which the editors agreed, “ … science doesn’t “prove” theories. Scientific measurements can only disprove theories or be consistent with them. Any theory that is consistent with measurements could be disproved by a future measurement.”5 In fact, concluding that an expected observation ‘proves’ a theory to be correct, is known in formal logic as the fallacy of affirming the consequent. Thus, assuming that this observation categorically verifies that the assumed source of the phenomenon has been established, without first eliminating all other possible sources, is something of an overreach. It is similar to what happened with the BICEP2 announcement concerning the alleged detection of gravitational waves from the end of the alleged cosmic inflation period that had to be subsequently rescinded.6,7
Moreover, the depth of the ‘dip’ does not agree with expectation. It is twice what was expected. So how do they explain that? Well, in cosmology today that is easy. Just invoke dark matter. It is needed to get stars to form in the first place so there must have been plenty of it around. But it presents another problem.
Dark matter (up until now) by definition does not interact with normal (baryonic) matter. So they have to propose that there is again new physics here and that the dark matter in the early universe did interact with normal matter.
“of the proposed extensions to the standard model of cosmology and particle physics, only cooling of the gas as a result of interactions between dark matter and baryons seems to explain the observed amplitude.”2
An accompanying paper by an Israeli physicist Rennan Barkana proposed the dark solution.8
“… this absorption can be explained by the combination of radiation from the first stars and excess cooling of the cosmic gas induced by its interaction with dark matter.”
It is only by modelling that such a statement can be made. No first stars are directly observed. Assuming it is cosmological in origin, it is the cosmic radio-frequency background spectrum that is observed and it is inferred to arise from the first stars for the waveband near the 78 MHz absorption feature. Now it is necessary to assume that hydrogen gas was then cooled by the presence of dark matter particles, when all other inferred ‘observations’ of dark matter have meant that it does not interact with baryons (normal matter), or when it does it is extremely weakly interacting—so weak, in fact, that it has not been detectable in any laboratory experiment to date. The searched-for particles are even called WIMPs (Weakly Interacting Massive Particles).
The theorist Barkana proposed that
“the dark-matter particle is no heavier than several proton masses, well below the commonly predicted mass of weakly interacting massive particles.”4
So it is a new type of dark matter, and it is quite cold, and able to cool the surrounding neutral hydrogen in the “cosmic dawn”. He proposes that “21-centimetre cosmology can be used as a dark-matter probe”, meaning this sort of ‘dip’ in the FM frequency band can be used to infer the existence of a new type of dark matter and to measure how energetic those particles are. However this is all without ever detecting them in a laboratory experiment.
It was probably unfortunate that Nature published Barkana’s speculative paper along with the research that made the observations of the ‘dip’. The latter is based on real science whereas the dark matter interpretation is speculative at best. I am sure the theorists are now churning out new papers by the minute to explain this feature. Perhaps it would be better if they waited though until better data becomes available in the future.
The standard big bang ΛCDM model is assumed. The absorption ‘dip’ in the observed 100 MHz radiation, assumed to be from the cosmic background, is assumed to be the redshifted 21-cm line of neutral hydrogen and that is assumed to be bathed in light from primordial stars. In addition, the depth of the absorption line is assumed to have been modified by the presence of a new type of, even more speculative form of, dark matter; not the elusive WIMP that has been sought for in local laboratory experiments. This has led to the proposal of a dark matter particle being necessarily cold and of much lower mass than the putative WIMP.
I have written that cosmic inflation is built on a “house of cards”.9 This alleged ‘detection’ of light from the first stars is also assumption built on assumption. Pull out just one and the whole house collapses. Or could it turn into a whole new realm of cosmology? That is, something like the Emperor’s new clothes where no direct evidence is needed? We’ll have to wait and see.
References and Notes
- Gibney, E., Astronomers detect light from the Universe’s first stars, Nature News, 28 February 2018.
- Bowman, J.D., Rogers, A.E.E., Monsalve, R.A., Mozdzen, T.J., and Mahesh, N., An absorption profile centred at 78 megahertz in the sky-averaged spectrum, Nature 555: 67–70 (01 March 2018).
- Editorial Summary found at http://www.nature.com/articles/nature25792
- More precisely the expected frequency = 1420 MHz/(1+z) where z is the source redshift.
- Bennett, C.L., “Science Title Misstep,” Science 332:1263, 2011.
- Hartnett, J.G., The authors of the claimed biggest astrophysics discovery of the century admit they may have been wrong, July 3, 2014.
- Hartnett, J.G., New study confirms BICEP2 detection of cosmic inflation wrong, February 5, 2015.
- Barkana, R., Possible interaction between baryons and dark-matter particles revealed by the first stars, Nature 555: 71–74 (01 March 2018).
- Hartnett, J.G., Cosmic Inflation: Did it really happen? September 11, 2015.